1:20 Okay, it's just gone 5 3 in a test of my ability to tell the time. Apologies for 1:26 that. I think I uh struggling with the uh the 24-hour 1:31 clock. Um we're now dealing with um the first of 1:37 three matters under or three issues under matter two and uh in a logic 1:43 probably only known to myself. We're going to do issue three first because I thought it kind of fitted with the time 1:49 frame um for this afternoon. Uh and it's the issue of the amount of employment 1:55 land that will be needed or required uh over the plan period um to 2040. I think 2:01 everybody in the room has been here for the first session um today. So I'll 2:07 dispense with the usual kind of um housekeeping. Hopefully you've remembered where fire exits are etc. Um 2:15 I don't know if it's helpful at this stage both to myself and to people who will be watching uh the uh the recording 2:23 of this session Mr. Shadow even whether the council just introduces I see there's new new people at the table 2:30 whether they can introduce themselves or you can introduce them for me please. Should I start with me? So I I'm Paul 2:37 Shederevian Casey acting for the council. 2:43 I'll just uh remind everyone I'm Matt Clifford uh senior planning policy 2:49 officer. Afternoon. Ross Leico, economics 2:55 director at Lichfields. Um I led on the production of the council's employment land review. 3:04 Kate Nichols, director of planning at Luc and I led on the sustainability appraisal. 3:11 Richard Fishwick from the business investment team at the council. I uh work with businesses in South Tide to 3:16 help them grow and try and attract new businesses into the burough. 3:22 Thank you. And then for other participants, I appreciate councelor Herbert, you're here really on behalf of 3:29 uh somebody else. But just again for the purpose of this session being recorded, councelor David Herbert for the South 3:36 Tide Green Party. 3:44 Thank you for that. So in terms of this afternoon's session um what we'll be 3:50 looking at uh and covering uh obviously tomorrow we'll be looking 3:56 at the kind of the plan period uh the housing numbers but obviously an important strand of the plan is also to 4:01 provide for employment needs uh over the plan period uh which is to 2040. Uh just 4:08 a reminder to uh people listening uh and speaking at this session that the 4:14 national planning policy framework requires that sufficient provision of employment land is a strategic matter. 4:20 Uh that planning system must create the conditions uh that are going to help businesses to invest, expand and adapt. 4:27 And that planning policies should set a clear economic vision and strategy uh to positively and proactively encourage um 4:34 sustainable economic growth. both needs that are anticipated but also to have 4:39 that degree of flexibility should you know things uh needs that are not anticipated in the plan um come forward 4:47 uh we're really probably at this stage looking at policy SP2 of the plan which sets a strategy for sustainable 4:54 development in the uh burough over the next sort of 15 years uh and this 4:59 session I really want to understand uh it's point four of the policy uh and the 5:04 figure 49.41 hectares whether that's soundly based um I think it's looking at 5:11 it from kind of two perspectives firstly is that going to be sufficient and reasonable to support the economic 5:16 potential uh over the of the burough over the plan period and secondly will 5:22 it support anticipated um jobs growth uh and demand hopefully in a way that's 5:27 going to align with uh the housing uh numbers that are are planned. 5:34 um we've touched upon briefly uh as part of the previous discussion. Obviously 5:40 there is a specific role for the IMP um that's uh sort of alongside and 5:46 outside of of this plan but clearly has an influence on what the local plan um 5:53 will be doing. uh and in particular the kind of evidence base I'm having in 5:58 regard to is the employment land review u which you'll find at document EMP1 6:05 uh and the helpful employment land technical paper at um EMP2 which really does kind of helpfully set out how the 6:12 council has gone about things. So I guess my first uh question or area for 6:19 the council um looking at item uh two uh of my agenda is whether the 6:26 kind of the general approach of the plan will support um sustainable economic 6:33 growth over the plan period. So has it kind of looked at what kind of sectors 6:38 uh are potentially growing in South Tinside? What areas are potentially contracting? Whether are kind of new 6:44 markets or expanding markets that the plan should be providing uh a portfolio 6:51 of of sites um to kind of uh to help meet. does that all kind of knit 6:56 together with kind of re local uh and kind of regional um strategies 7:03 for the economy um jobs and skills. I think it's really sort of pointing to my masters issues question 211. 7:10 Yeah, I'm going to ask Mr. Fishwick to give a broad overview of the uh 7:16 quantitative and qualitative um um profile of of economic development 7:24 and activity in the bar before moving on to deal specifically with the policy and the way in which it's evolved. That's 7:30 all right. 7:37 Yes. So sorry the um you asked me to contribute in terms of the the range of 7:42 sort of sites and sectors that we're working with here. Um so the key sectors 7:49 in terms of growth that we're seeing in South Tinside is around sort of advanced manufacturing. Uh that's related to the 7:56 automotive sector and uh the offshore sectors. So we work closely with um key 8:02 stakeholders. um we can't manage key companies within the borough um and land 8:08 owners uh within South Tinside who have appropriate sites uh and try and sort of marry the the two uh two up. So they're 8:16 sort of key areas larger sort of industrial um units typically that that 8:22 occupiers are looking for. Um okay I in terms of those 8:30 u particular sectors so just picking up first the advanced manufacturing 8:35 I mean is that businesses or um aspects of that sector that wouldn't go on the 8:43 IMP or wouldn't be directed to the IMP are they businesses that are kind of affiliated and would support what is 8:52 happening in the automotive sector Yes, we see I am is for sort of very 8:57 large uh investments if you like whereas the sort of land supplier in South T side that we typically deal with is for 9:02 sort of maybe tier two tier three suppliers you don't need such large requirements so I'm aware that has a 9:08 sort of minimum requirement you need to have a certain size building to go on the AMP we see a sort of market is sort 9:14 of accommodating other uses so um existing companies looking to grow um a 9:19 new sort of supply also uh that yeah it's green energy So we're seeing sort of investment on the port of 9:24 Tai. They have a lot of the sites that are available um for investment. So we've seen the likes of Equinor or SES across the Tai not just on the south 9:31 bank but the north bank also. So we're promoting the whole the T as a whole as a location um for investment but yeah um 9:38 certainly green energy offshore. Thank you. and you sort of outline those as kind of key um sectors. Um 9:51 as I sort of go around the country doing various plan examinations I haven't yet 9:56 been to an authority this could be the first but most authorities tell me logistics and distribution is a big 10:03 sector for them or something they want to see and attract. Is that the same in South Todd or is it for you is actually 10:10 no it's we're really focusing in on advanced manufacturing and and offshore. I think in terms of economic development 10:17 uh we see the sites that we've got sort of getting the most jobs onto them and sometimes that's more manufacturing 10:22 logistics. Having said that we do attract uh logistics companies as well. Um we've got some linked to the 10:29 automotive and offshore um supply chain located in in South Tide. Uh there's an investment in JAR um taking a large unit 10:37 DHL um 100,000 square foot unit there. So logistics are an important part of that supply chain to the manufacturing 10:45 um sector. But as I say from from my point of view, economic development is trying to get the most jobs into South 10:50 Tide and often to get the most jobs manufacturing units sort of employ more 10:57 than logistics companies within South Tide. 11:05 Thank you. Um before ask further questions. Councelor Herbert, 11:10 I just like to ask about the port of Ty and the importation of wood pellets for tracks. Um the I believe the parliament 11:19 was going to renew the the contract for that for about five years. But given 11:25 it's totally unsustainable uh to produce electricity that way and produces huge amounts of carbon dioxide. I can't see 11:32 that being renewed after the five years. Is there any plans for reusing that 11:37 employment land that surely will become available in maybe five years time? 11:42 Okay, we can just detach the DRA issue because I with all due respect council her I can't recall reading that in your 11:49 represent in councelor Ford's representations. 11:55 Well, we can have Yeah, I think we can have sort of the generalities of employment land. I think the way I'd 12:02 like to pick it up if I may from what you're saying is what's happening in in terms of the port of Tine land because 12:08 from what I read I mean that's I think the way the employment land workers has 12:13 looked at that that's kind of been sort of separated out as a specific or particular kind of land use requirement 12:22 in terms of the port of time activities etc. Is that how the council's looked at 12:28 things or have I got the wrong end of the wrong stick? 12:38 Um so in terms of the employment alarm review, the the sort of the forecasting 12:43 and the demand analysis looks at the economy in the round. Um albeit some of 12:50 the supply side assessment that was undertaken by Lambert Smith who were the commercial agents um does begin to 12:59 separate out from a supply perspective the general employment from the port and river related uses. 13:06 That's more for sort of information and to understand the sort of the broader 13:12 context of provision rather than it necessarily being the case that there's a need to plan for the port and related 13:18 uses as being separate from general employment in the round. 13:36 So just uh perhaps I sort of just get my my head around that a bit more. So where 13:42 land is identified as kind of port related or port of tine related that 13:47 will be land that the port of T has control over or it's part of their wider 13:55 estate and they'll determine what happens there and it could be port or river related but it could also 14:02 fulfill a general employment land requirement if I could describe it in those terms. 14:12 Um, sorry. I think that's a a fair assessment. Um, 14:17 we want to provide the opportunity for port and river related but with an 14:23 element of flexibility built in as well. Um, that's what the portion wants. Um 14:32 so we have a separate allocation policy for 14:37 port and river related um but with an element of flexibility built into 15:02 [Music] Thank you. Um just to kind of help me complete my 15:08 picture. Um uh Mr. Fishick. So there's some sort of positive uh sides of the equation from 15:16 um the employment um perspective or from your your perspective on the employment in terms of those 15:22 sectors that are either growing or you want to see sort of continue to kind of grow and flourish um within uh within 15:29 the burough. When looking at sort of plan making and considering needs in the rounds, I think plan making needs to 15:35 also factor in whether there are sectors that are currently here but are not 15:40 particularly strongly represented or maybe the forecast or the analysis is 15:46 that those are sectors that are not perhaps got such a positive kind of 15:52 outlook over the over the plan period. This a question for you Mr. Fishery or for uh NLP to kind of 15:57 Yeah, I'm happy to take this one sir. Um so yeah I mean that's that's absolutely right in terms of the um the sort of the 16:04 modeling of requirements that's fed into the employment line review that includes a range of um scenarios five scenarios 16:12 in total to reflect a sort of variety of forecasts and techniques as required in planning practice guidance that's a 16:19 combination of um labor demand labor supply and past take up where we're 16:26 looking at the um labor demand and take up where projecting sort of net changes 16:33 in the economy. So we're not just looking at those sectors that projected to grow, but we're also looking at those 16:38 sectors that as you say may maybe sort of forecast to to contract as well and and 16:44 across the various use classes then sort of aggregating those up to arrive at a at a view as to what the overall 16:51 requirement might be. And I think just to to pick up on the point around the kind of the adequacy of provision and 16:58 the way in which we've tried to have regard to the various sectors that may um provide strong growth prospects for 17:06 South Tinside moving forward. It's probably worth being aware that the overall range of 17:12 requirements forecasts a need for and these are figures from the employment land review. So that's EMP1. I 17:19 appreciate that the figures that then flow through to the employment land technical paper are slightly different 17:24 because of some adjustments for the um change in the plan period and the 17:29 application of a a allowance for loss replacement. But in terms of the figures in the employment land review, we 17:37 identified an indicative um gross land requirement ranging from 9.65 hectares 17:44 to 33.59 hectares. And then off the back of that recommended that the authority should 17:50 look to accommodate needs of between 25 hectares and 35. So that that range 17:55 essentially aligns with the um past take up and labor supply scenarios at the 18:00 bottom end and the labor demand policy on scenario. So the sort of um IMP le 18:09 jobs growth scenario at the the top end. And I think part of the rationale for 18:15 sort of narrowing the range if you like was having regard to the need as set out in MPPF for strategies to plan 18:21 positively and proactively to um support economic growth. And in particular I 18:27 draw your attention to paragraph 7.45 of the employment line review EMP1 which 18:33 provides a little bit more sort of narrative to as to the kind of thought process underpinning that. So three key 18:41 points if you like. First of all, the baseline labor demand scenarios were 18:46 discounted on the basis that they were deemed um insufficient to proactively support a sustainable growth. that was 18:54 underpinned by fairly strong and clear feedback from a variety of stakeholders 19:00 that they felt that that those levels of need risk constraint in the economy of Southside but also those scenarios are 19:07 are policy neutral. Um so they don't factor in the potential uplift in the supply chain associated with amp offsite 19:15 and also they generate a a land requirement that falls below past take up. So again, it didn't feel as if they 19:22 um recognized the potential to deliver a kind of step change in performance off the back of um and other opportunities. 19:30 Second key point is um that they also recognized the need to meet as a minimum 19:35 the land needs associated with housing growth under the labor supply scenario. And then thirdly and kind of 19:41 particularly relevant to the sort of sectoral point it was acknowledged that scenarios three 19:46 and four. So the policy on labor demand scenario and the labor supply scenario 19:52 included the greatest levels of industrial demand and that was considered to be 19:58 particularly important in um reflecting the likely sectoral demand or the key 20:03 drivers of of growth in Southside. picking up on you know clear feedback 20:08 from stakeholders on the growth potential of advanced manufacturing and offjaw which Mr. Fishwick has has spoken 20:14 to that's also reflected in the council's um economic assessment as well 20:20 which is EMP4. It also recognized that um past 20:27 employment trends have generally indicated that the historic contraction 20:33 in industrial has started to sort of slow a little as well. 21:11 Thank you. We'll we'll come on to the scenarios I think in a bit more detail um shortly under um other areas on the 21:19 agenda, but appreciate that kind of um overview at um at this stage. I mean in 21:26 terms of again picking up the point around uh flexibility and ensuring 21:32 there's going to be a degree positive and kind of reasonable degree 21:37 of supply plus trying to anticipate you know what sort of buffer you need for kind of um unanticipated needs. I think 21:44 you mentioned there about obviously you looked at kind of various scenarios um paraphrase but kind of generally 21:51 going towards the top end of those um scenarios but then been sort of further adjustments if I I understand it. I 21:57 think you pointed me to the employment land topic paper. Is this where we're sort of looking at kind of the 22:04 additional allowance is it two years for kind of to to accommodate or make factor 22:11 in a degree that kind of this churn does exist within components to um explain 22:17 the difference between the um requirement in the employment law review and then the um requirement the 22:23 authority are planning for through the local plan. First thing to point out in 22:28 relation to the um sort two-year safety margin that that that is actually sort of baked into all of the figures 22:34 presented in the employment land review. So the um the recommendation to plan for 22:39 25 to 35 hectares includes that two years and as set out in the employment land review that's essentially 22:46 designed to provide an additional buffer for delays in development allow for 22:51 potential uncertainties in the forecasting process and um provide a reasonable choice of sites to developers 22:58 and occupiers. In addition to that, as we sort of step away from the employment land review 23:04 figures and towards the um employment land technical paper figures, the local 23:10 authority has taken a policy decision to add a loss replacement allowance 23:18 at a um 25% allowance. Um so that's essentially to 23:25 try and guard against the erosion of um employment land over a period of time 23:31 whilst recognizing that it's not appropriate to replace all losses because some of that just reflects kind 23:37 of natural restructuring of the of the economy and so on. And then then the final adjustment which isn't kind of uh 23:44 relevant to flexibility but in moving from the employment land review to the employment land technical paper there's 23:49 been a slight um change in the period that's covered which means that there's 23:54 been some kind of pre-ordering of the um of the numbers 24:15 And in terms of that kind of 25% I'll call it an allowance in terms of loss um 24:21 replacement um is that something that could be 24:26 described is um reasonable. Um I mean looking through 24:32 the employment land uh evidence and sort of past trends, certain sites clearly 24:37 have gone um lost to other other uses including residential 24:43 um is that a is that 25% figure 24:49 say reasonable or grounded in the evidence? Yeah, absolutely. So paragraph 7.26 26 24:56 of the employment lamb review um essentially sort of sets out the um the thought process behind uh identifying 25:04 25% as a sort of potentially suitable allowance and and that takes into 25:09 account a range of factors. So one is the scale of difference between net and gross take up rates in the burough um 25:17 which the loss is sort of arguably indicates the planning for a high level replacement could overstate future needs 25:23 because there has been quite a lot of loss there. Um the second is the fact that historic losses have been driven by 25:28 residential development on windfall sites rather than the delivery of sort of complimentary uses on uh industrial 25:35 estates. So things like uh gyms, food outlets and so on, crashes. 25:40 And the third was um advice from Lambert Smith who suggested that losses of in 25:47 recent years focused on old industrial complexes in inner urban areas or 1960s 25:52 office blocks um that no longer meet the needs of modern businesses. And as a 25:57 result, there's perhaps less of an imperative to sort of allow for their replacement. but but also LSH of advis 26:04 that fewer of those sites remain currently. So again, probably less of a need to sort of plan for um future 26:10 replacement. 26:21 Thank you. And on the issue of kind of planning for sufficient kind of employment land on the one one hand it's 26:27 a quantitative kind of exercise um 26:32 refer to all leading to the kind of the various scenarios as you say that reflected in planning guidance. 26:39 There's probably also a qualitative dimension or a spatial dimension. We'll 26:44 come on to the plan's overall spatial strategy but it's it struck me as sort of quite telling sort of reading through 26:50 the evidence. It's repeated in various places that the employment land portfolio 26:58 um notwithstanding the IMP and some other um examples including where we are 27:03 um today as a business park close to the A19 but a lot of the remaining employment land is to the north of the 27:09 burough close to the river. Um is this again we'll come on to the 27:16 spatial um strategy but various people are sort of making the observations well would it be better 27:23 uh in terms of meeting employment needs to be looking at alternative 27:29 sites in alternative locations as opposed to what I think the council itself recognizes is a I think a 27:36 geographically tight supply um in the north of the burough. 27:42 close to the river. 27:49 As you state, sir, we have acknowledged in the employment land technical paper that there is what you might term 27:58 an imbalance in the spatial distribution. uh in that 28:04 in the north of the burough the supply 28:09 um is where our existing portfolio of land is. 28:15 Um there is stronger demand around the southwest of 28:22 the burough where the strategic road network uh is at its densest. 28:29 So we acknowledge there's evidence of a qualitative need and the evidence from the employment 28:37 land review and from our own 28:42 economic development team is that that would likely to take the form of a of a 28:48 new business park. Um however 28:54 um and we acknowledge that in a purely commercial context you know the 29:00 southwest of the burough i.e. close to the would be the logical location for 29:05 that and that would uh improve the prospects of achieving the upper bound requirement of the council's preferred 29:12 scenario. However, as set out in the green belt 29:18 exceptional circumstances paper, the council concluded that there are not 29:24 exceptional circumstances to justify the scale of green belt release that would 29:29 be required because it would be quite substantial. Um, also as set out in table 15 summary 29:37 of site assessments in the employment land technical paper, there would be other substantial hurdles to overcome. 29:45 National highways would have concerns, for example, regarding the allocation of a new 29:51 business park close to the strategic road network, potentially issues around land 29:57 availability. Council would also point out that figure 30:02 2.1 of the IMP employment land position statement shows a clustering of activity 30:10 in South Tinside and Sunland. um 30:15 where there are business needs where business needs to be close to the AMP 30:21 and it also shows the supply chain is located throughout the region. 30:28 So this illustrates that while sites close to are likely to be preferred, 30:34 supply chain businesses will consider alternative locations where necessary. 30:42 So the council is looking to work within the grain of 30:47 the existing supply to ensure can attract opportunities as 30:53 and when they emerge. And 30:58 I think you've heard from Richard that there there are sites elsewhere in South Townside which are still attractive to 31:05 modern occupiers. Um, I'd also point out that we do have a 31:12 policy in the plan. Um, I think it's policy 23 which 31:18 provides some flexibility for employment sites to come forward 31:23 that are not identified in the plan. I appreciate that it's within the context 31:28 of the main urban area. Um so um so 31:34 there is it wouldn't be a green belt release. 31:40 So we feel that the strategy is an appropriate balance and doesn't unacceptably constrain the local 31:47 economy. 31:52 If I could just add please um from an economic development point of view you're still seeing inquiries for land 31:57 in the north. So, it's not to say it's all about the the south of the burough. Uh particularly around the port. Um 32:04 we're aware of um a couple of companies at the moment um working with land owners and agents and developers uh that 32:11 there is interest and things about to be signed for development in the north on some of those sites uh moving forward. 32:22 If I might just add as well. So um in terms of this idea that um other parts 32:28 of the burough are still capable of attracting interest from those key sectors, you might want to turn your 32:36 attention to the uh local economic assessment pages 32:45 14 and 15, which essentially has two sort of um focus pieces on the offshore wind supply 32:53 chain. and the advanced manufacturing supply chain and and and shows where the sort of clusters of existing businesses 32:59 in those sectors are located currently. And that that does show significant levels of activity in the south around 33:06 kind of Monton and Balden where we do accept there is is is strong demand but it does also show that there are a 33:12 number of businesses operating in the likes of Heb and Jarro. So not as kind of clearcut as um you know 33:20 sites in the in in the north being sort of holy unattractive to those those industrial sectors. 33:55 Thank you. I've just got two um brief questions uh in response to the 34:01 council's response to my matters issues. Question 211. It's at paragraph 239 of 34:06 the statement. I just wanted to be clear in terms of the uh flood risk at Port of 34:13 Tine. Is that does that then have a ramification for the any of the figures in the plan that need to kind of be 34:20 tracked through in terms of that reduced area? Um the short answer is yes. But we have 34:29 proposed a modification to address that and it's a fairly modest reduction. 34:59 Thank you. And then second point is rel related to 35:04 I think this is in the employment land uh technical paper this kind of figure of the 25 hectares for a 35:11 new business park um and as whether there were kind of alternative options. 35:18 Did it need was that did it need that kind of 25 20 or 20 to 25 hectares for 35:24 kind of critical mass or could that be kind of divided down into I don't know four four 35:32 sites of five to seven hectares. We we've taken the advice of our 35:38 business development team and also the views that were expressed 35:43 through the workshop for the employment land review stakeholders 35:50 that a critical mass would be very important for viability. And so when we 35:55 conducted the site search exercise which is detailed in the employment land technical paper, we did have a minimum 36:02 site area site threshold of 20 hectares. So that is the that is the view that we 36:08 took. 36:26 Thank you. Um I'm going to move on to MIQ 212. 36:32 Um in terms of um 36:39 the point we raised uh earlier this afternoon in terms of this kind of separating out the IMP uh from general 36:48 uh employment um needs and whether that's a kind of a a justified approach. 36:53 I've obviously heard this afternoon there uh it's not as clear-cut as that because there will be the supply chain 36:59 um uh issues but um I think you say uh 37:06 Sunderland Council have no issue or taken no issue with that approach. So I think they presumably adopted similar 37:14 in relation to their plan making. 37:22 Yes, that's correct. Um, there is that separation. 37:28 It's confirmed in the statement of common ground that it's a it's an approach by 37:36 both councils. Um and the methodological approach in 37:42 the South Tinside employment land review is consistent with the one which underpins Sunland's city council's 37:49 adopted core strategy and development plan um which has been tested at examination in public and accepted by 37:56 the planning inspector at that time. 38:02 But as I stated earlier, the needs of the IAMP are planned through the AAP, 38:07 not the local plan. So it was not the purpose of the ELR to justify the employment space requirements of the 38:13 IMP. And this has already been subject to its own evidence base and found sound. 38:21 And also as I stated earlier, whilst the IAP AAP was adopted in 2017, 38:28 a review was undertaken by both councils as required by national policy in 2022 38:34 just before work on the employment land review commenced and that review concluded that the policies remained 38:41 effective and up to date. 38:47 In July 2024, 38:52 South Tinside Council and Sunland City Council published a new regulation 18 draft of the AAP and this progressed to 38:59 a regulation 19 consultation in spring 2025. And the new AAP seeks to ensure that the 39:07 plan is aligned to the designation of parts of the site 39:12 as part of a new northeast investment zone. 39:19 The revised plan proposes to amend the definition for principal uses to ensure 39:24 consistency with the key sectors which the investment zone is designated to. 39:31 However, the proposal to limit development to the principal uses will continue to apply. Therefore, the clear 39:37 distinction between the site and the general employment areas would continue to remain in place. 39:45 So the council considers that whilst the is clearly an important asset to both of 39:51 the council's administrative area it straddles the is properly understood as being 39:58 primarily a regional economic asset providing the region with a supply of land for the specialist uses designated 40:05 as the principal uses 40:10 and as also stated earlier the council has proposed modification ations which clarify the relationship of the to the 40:17 PL. 40:24 Thank you. So linking to the um 40:29 the AMP um I think in terms of what was referred to me earlier as tier two and tier three kind of supply chain issues. 40:37 We come back to uh item four on my agenda. So in terms of the reasonleness 40:42 I was taking earlier through the kind of the various five scenarios that the employment land review um looked at uh 40:50 it's uh a lighted on uh scenario three which is the policy on uh labor demand 40:58 um scenario I think I've asked question about strategy that earlier around what's 41:04 what's happened in relation to kind of past trends uh and the evidence or been pointed to 41:09 kind of the evidence base to show where development is clustering not necessarily close to the um um close to 41:16 the IMP but overall it is obviously the highest kind of jobs 41:22 uh kind of figure um uh that's uh identified through the employment land 41:28 uh review work uh and whether that poses any kind of 41:33 risks around uh when you look at that against the um 41:40 uh the the kind of the job supply from the new homes whe there's going to be a 41:45 potential disconnect or whether there are other issues that the plan is trying to address or needs to address. What 41:53 I've looked there is whether there's for example there's particular unemployment issues or as the kind of strong evidence 42:01 around kind of outcomuting is the council looking to kind of retain and or 42:07 upskill kind of employment um within within the burough. I think it's kind of 42:12 going for sort of a very positive and strong jobs figure can be positive on the one hand, but is there any kind of 42:19 potential side effects that we need the plan needs to be sort of cognizant of or we need to be aware of 42:27 or am I being overly concerned about uh well I point out sir that the 42:35 um the requirement produced by the policy on labor demand scenario IO 42:42 complements the connected to jobs, skills and learning key ambition in the 42:48 South Tinside vision and council strategy. So 42:55 in terms of broader council strategies, the scenario will contribute to 43:00 addressing issues such as uh needs 43:06 regarding the relationship to housing growth. Sunland City Council and South 43:11 Tinside Council's IAMP impact studies housing topic paper 43:17 uh forecast the scale of local housing requirements likely to be generated by 43:22 IAMP. So to be clear, I think this was part of the IMP evidence base. The report suggested that at least 90% 43:29 of potential amp workers are already projected to be living in the northeast 43:36 based on analysis of advanced manufacturing parks elsewhere with the majority of employees originating from 43:44 the primary area of influence. In terms of the point you make about outcommuting, I think in general 43:51 strategy terms, yes, we we would like to reduce outcomuting and um 43:59 that's uh something I think obviously it works as well in the terms of uh 44:04 sustainable travel trends. 44:12 Sir, if I can just come in there. I think I think there are essentially sort of three three parts of the question on 44:17 there. What one of which is perhaps better um dealt with by Mr. Clifford, Mr. M Mr. Fishwick, but I think we've we 44:23 sort of touched on it already in terms of the um process that's the council has 44:29 gone through in order to try and identify sites in the south of the um the burough and and as you say the um 44:35 the potential for other locations to potentially play a role in accommodating 44:40 growth. So, if we can set that aside, unless Mr. Clifford, Mr. Fishwick have anything to add. I think there's one on 44:46 past trends. Um, and if you go to table 7.5 of the employment land review, so 44:53 EMP1, I believe that that essentially sets out the sort 44:58 of the indicative gross land requirements identified under the various modeled scenarios. that shows a 45:05 requirement of 33.59 hectares under the policy on labor demand scenario. So accounting for the 45:12 potential to capture growth from the IM supply chain 45:18 that compares to a figure of 26.20 hectares if the authority was to 45:25 continue to plan for demand on the basis of past rates of net take up. So there is an uplift there. Um and and one that 45:33 you know sort of reflects that opportunity to capture wider um economic 45:38 opportunities but but but I would suggest that it's it's not a kind of 45:43 unrealistic or unachievable um scale of uplift. 45:49 The second point and this builds on what Mr. Clifford was saying in terms of the sort of relationship between 45:56 housing growth strategy and um employment growth strategy and 46:01 what I would say is my my kind of remit has been to sort of author the employment land review that's clearly 46:07 part of the sort of the evidence for the authority to sort of take into account in in development a strategy. And so 46:13 there's a better place to to kind of speak to the the precise sort of logic for the um the two strategies. But if we 46:21 set that aside again, table 7.5 of the employment land review shows the gross 46:26 land requirements and you can see from that that the sort of labor supply scenario 46:32 results in a need for 25.78 hectares. So essentially what we're saying is in order to provide enough jobs to meet the 46:39 population growth that's anticipated under the the um level of housing growth 46:45 associated with the standard method. We'd need 25.78 hectares. We're 46:51 obviously planning more planning for more than that. Um the council's taking a decision to plan for 33.59 46:58 in terms of the employment land scenario. And I guess what that suggests that is that the number of jobs to be 47:03 created locally will exceed the needs associated with 47:09 local housing or population growth. And I guess what that then means in terms of 47:14 how that plays out in the economy. There are two potential sort of impacts I guess. One one is it could very likely 47:22 reduce outcomuting um because we'd held commuting rates constant within our labor supply scenario. 47:31 But a reduction in in out commuting actually would not necessarily be a bad thing for for South Tinside. The data 47:37 that feeds into the employment alarm review in the baseline section shows that there was a net net outflow on a 47:42 daily basis from South Tinside of more than 13,000 residents commuting to work 47:48 elsewhere. So you know reversing that would would potentially be a positive. 47:54 out migration and a a sort of low job density were also flagged as key challenges for the burough within the 47:59 council's economic assessment and then the second potential impact is around 48:04 possibly reducing unemployment and again within the sort of local context that 48:11 I would argue would be a a a good thing. The latest annual population survey data for January 24 to December 24 shows that 48:20 modelbased unemployment in South Tinside stood at 5.7% which is higher than the northeast at 48:26 4.5% and higher than Great Britain at 3.8%. 48:45 Thank thank you for for that. In terms of 48:52 um yeah I guess it's I guess it's kind of 48:58 the uh the flip side of this. I've asked it of MIQ 214. Conversely, whilst I've uh on 49:06 the one hand asked a question about is this presenting particular risks around um imbalance of jobs and homes, uh it 49:15 affected it being too positive a strategy. Uh conversely, 49:20 for those who've made representations on the plan, this could be potentially too restrictive 49:26 uh an approach. Um, council's answered my um, MIQ um, 214 uh, on this. I think 49:36 identified sort of various factors. I think Mr. Clifford's referred to some of them already in terms of potential 49:42 highway capacity. We obviously got green belt um um considerations but I don't 49:48 know from uh NLP's perspective when looking at the employment land review 49:53 work and particularly with sort of engaging with uh kind of various business forums or 50:00 local businesses or the the the Northeast uh local enterprise 50:06 partnership where there's any kind of signals that actually 50:11 plan making potentially should be even more uh positive or aggressive on kind 50:18 of employment land um release. I think from a a sort of quantitative perspective um there's been no sort of 50:25 feedback to uh to indicate that we uh went through a sort of extensive process 50:31 of engagement to inform the employment land review. that included um business surveys. It included one-to- ones with a 50:36 a host of sort of key economic development stakeholders and it included a um sort of workshop session that was 50:43 attended by local authority officers from the surrounding districts. It 50:49 included um local commercial agents, developers and and and so on. And I I 50:55 believe that the the sort of general consensus as part of that session was that the less ambitious scenarios, the 51:02 baseline labor demand scenarios should be discounted. But there was a general sense that a sort of a requirement in 51:10 that order of sort of 25 to 35 hectares was was probably sort of sensible. 51:22 Thank you. I appreciate we'll come on to look at um spatial strategy tomorrow and 51:30 uh the approach to green belt uh on th Thursday. 51:36 Yep. Um, in terms of the overall approach to employment land, when I look at the the 51:43 evidence, it appears to me that um, roughly, if I call it what's available, 51:48 uh, what the employment land review is kind of determined is kind of suitable and available for uh, employment uses 51:57 broadly align or is not far off from um, 52:02 uh, the various kind of forecasting. uh and in this case the plan has then 52:10 built in some additionality or flexibility uh in essence through the wardly collery 52:17 site and we'll come on to that and deal with that in more detail uh specifically 52:22 on Friday this week uh as part of the strategy but just mindful councelor Herbert and from think what the green 52:28 party was saying I think they've got from reading your representations there some you don't think it's the sound 52:35 approach to have kind of built in this this flexibility in at that particular 52:40 location. We'll we'll deal with the location in in more detail in due course. But is there anything further 52:47 you want to say about in terms of the approach of say building in some flexibility 52:53 through this additional land release? 52:59 um question. Yeah, you might need your microphone. Y 53:06 so if I read out what her notes were. So put my council for hat on 53:14 saying the answer to the question was uh the plan is not justified by the evidence base sustainability appraisal 53:20 report saw notes that the local plan has increased the amount of land required for employment from the draft 18 reg uh 53:29 local plan. It notes that the level of employment growth underpinning this is high in a 53:35 context of past trends. The S states that the draft 18 reg's 53:43 preferred scenario for employment land requirements was the baseline demand 53:48 scenario and the reason for given the employment land technical paper 2022 53:54 whether that the council recognized the constraints placed by the green belt and 54:00 the very high value placed on this resource by local communities. The S states that the regulation 19 54:06 draft plan the council has instead used the the policy in an labor demand 54:12 scenario. The 2023 employment land technical paper explains that the level of employment 54:18 growth underpinning scenario seeks to capture the impact of on the general 54:23 employment market. However, the SAR notes that this level of employment growth is high in the 54:30 context of context of past trends. The S also notes that the negative 54:36 impact that is the preferred option has on employment land 54:41 in 4.26. However, negative effects were recorded against a number of environmental objectives reflect the 54:48 impact of the high economic growth could have upon the environment due to proximity ex of existing designations 54:56 and increased impacts on natural resources. Potential impacts on biodiversity and wildlife corridors. 55:03 This level of growth is also likely to acquire land from the green belt to facilitate the growth aspirations. 55:10 This objective however scores negatively against objectives four green belt and 55:15 objective five green infrastructure due to potential impacts on the green infrastructure corridor. 55:23 Thank you. I wonder if that leads us into u message question 215 and um 55:32 the approach that the sustainability appraisal has taken. I think I heard from NLP a moment ago. I don't know 55:39 whether scenarios one one and two are kind of almost unreasonable 55:45 um options because that the kind of the market was kind of indicating no we 55:50 don't think that's going to be suitable u or whether SA sorry sustainability 55:56 appraisal still looked at the full gamut of kind of uh uh land uh employment land 56:05 requirement options as kind of reasonable to test and picking up councelor Herbert's kind of commentary 56:11 that probably inevitably when you look at some of these uh options they will score negatively against some uh 56:19 objectives uh positive against others. I just wonder for for my benefit and for 56:26 others how sustainability appraisal has looked at the kind of various options for the amount of employment land. 56:32 Yes. So um originally back in 2016 when the council was undertaking sustainability appraisal work in house 56:39 there were three um options that were considered at that point a high medium and low growth option that were subject 56:45 to appraisal. Um and then in 2019 the new ELR had produced revised options 56:52 which were then subject to essay in the 2019 essay report. 56:57 Potentially with hindsight that may not have been strictly necessary. It may be quite possible to justify for the 57:04 reasons spoken about that actually they aren't necessarily reasonable but by the 57:09 by being precautionary they were subject to essay um and that work was followed through 57:16 into the later essay reports um and is presented in chapter four of the submitted essay report although those 57:23 options were later updated um I think in 2022 they were the figures were very 57:30 much still in the same ballpark as the options that were appraised because the thing about um looking at quantum 57:36 options through SA in terms of both employment and housing. Um it's not really an exact science. I'm sure you're 57:42 aware there's not sort of necessarily a carrying capacity that's defined or a threshold figure after which we can say 57:49 okay there'll be significant negative effects. It's much more about the um the comparison I suppose and the differences 57:56 between the scale of options that are being considered. Um and because of the 58:01 nature of essay um it's it's necessarily quite a high level appraisal looking at 58:06 very much the principle of more or less growth. So our view was that the 58:12 appraisal findings for those very slightly different figures were very much valid and still represented an appraisal of the options as they stood 58:19 then. But presumably the uh part of the role of a sustainability appraisal could be 58:25 to point out if even at that high level it might point you to think about soundness of plans. You're looking at an 58:32 appropriate strategy and a number of things could be an appropriate strategy but presumably sustainability appraisal 58:37 can maybe set off some alarm bells that definitely not going to be or that's 58:42 very likely not to be an an appropriate strategy. But you've still got a pool of 58:48 reasonable options that might score differently in different ways, but all 58:53 of them are in one shape or another potentially part of an appropriate strategy. 58:59 Exactly. I mean, in to put it in very sort of crude terms, in general, more 59:04 development, a higher growth figure through the SA will see more negative effects on the sort of 59:11 environmental topics that we need to look at as have has been pointed out. um and perhaps more benefits on the social 59:18 and economic topics. And if you're looking at a lower growth scenario, then that would would flip and something in 59:25 the middle might be a bit more of a balance between those things. the essay um in relation to any of the topic areas 59:31 being considered doesn't sort of um throw out an instruction to plan makers 59:37 that this is what you must take forward. But as you say, it can highlight actually, you know, if we're looking at 59:42 a higher growth figure, these are some of the issues that might need to be taken into account. But there's a limit to the level of detail that the 59:48 appraisal can go into based on sort of a blunt growth figure because obviously it depends hugely on the specific sites 59:55 that are taken forward, their distribution and and other factors. 1:00:03 I'm going to park kind of specific discussion around wardly the wardly collery um site till uh certainly for 1:00:11 Friday but I suspect it will come up as part of the discussion just in general terms around exceptional circumstances 1:00:18 on Thursday but just in sort of broad terms and it's Mr. Clifford or um I 1:00:24 forgotten your name from NLP 1:00:34 Okay, thank you. Um the kind of the rationale just in economic terms for the 1:00:40 wardly collery site is it kind of giving you further flexibility in the supply? 1:00:46 Is it to point to some of these issues we've talked about about employment land 1:00:51 being well related to the strategic road network closer to the IMP just 1:01:00 so some sort of the general headline kind of it does provide additional flexibility 1:01:08 that flexibility however is principally probably in relation to the B2 use 1:01:14 class. Um it benefits from proximity 1:01:20 to the strategic road network. One thing which did come through the 1:01:26 employment land review was um you know a demand for B2. 1:01:34 Originally the site was promoted by the owners of the site or on their behalf. 1:01:41 uh they no longer intend to develop the site themselves, but they're still promoting it for employment and believe 1:01:50 their intention is to market it subject to it being confirmed as allocated in 1:01:55 the plan. Um, so I think there is a it does meet a 1:02:02 need, but I wouldn't in all honesty say that there's a particularly strong relationship with the IM in relation to 1:02:08 that, but it does provide additional flexibility in general employment terms. 1:02:21 Thank you. And then just finally from me for this afternoon if we haven't talked about the AMP enough and I appreciate 1:02:27 I'm not examining the the AMP and this is uh this is your own separate uh local 1:02:33 plan. Nonetheless, thinking about the policy uh sorry scenario three the policy on uh trying to sort of 1:02:40 capitalize on the wider economic benefits of the um the in terms of 1:02:46 supply chain and other kind of activities that are linked to that. uh 1:02:51 and whether that's an appropriate and kind of justified um strategy 1:02:57 obviously that's relying on it seems to my mind the I am happening and being 1:03:02 delivered I've been to the site I've seen various obviously things are happening I don't know if the council 1:03:08 was just able to just provide a brief overview in response it was my MIQ216 1:03:14 how that's going what's potentially sort of coming and what kind of confidence you can or that 1:03:22 you know policy scenario three is kind of justified because the IMP is is 1:03:30 happening. It's a it's a local and and a regional priority. 1:03:35 Well, I think the first thing to point out in terms of it being a local and regional priority 1:03:42 is that our employment evidence base really does acknowledge that both the local 1:03:48 economic assessment which identifies 1:03:53 uh advanced manufacturing as a key sectoral strength and also the employment lamb review. 1:04:00 Whilst it obviously isn't part of the evidence base, I am as such it does recognize its significance. 1:04:08 Um, in terms of evidence 1:04:13 of delivery, both councils are confident of the ongoing success of the IMP and 1:04:22 committed to preparing a new area action plan for the area. 1:04:28 Um, one of the reasons that the AAP is being reviewed is to ensure 1:04:34 it's in line with the recently announced northeast investment zone 1:04:41 and to improve the flexibility of the document to make the most of any new inward investment 1:04:48 opportunities. And I would point out in relation to that in terms of fiscal incentives 1:04:58 that in terms of the northeast investment zone the forms part of I 1:05:03 think it's called the strategic uh international advanced manufacturing area and that has fiscal incentives 1:05:10 associated with it to encourage investment. 1:05:17 The regulation 19 I am barrier action plan was accompanied by an infrastructure delivery plan and table 1:05:24 two of that document details the infrastructure provided or under 1:05:30 construction since the adoption of the existing IM 1:05:37 and the infrastructure delivery schedule table three provides a description of the known infrastructure required as 1:05:43 well as the as well as a tabular list of infrastructure requirements. irements. 1:05:54 Both councils are continuing to engage positively with infrastructure providers 1:05:59 and other stakeholders in order to ensure delivery of the strategic infrastructure in a timely and effective 1:06:06 manner. The IMP 1:06:12 AAP employment land position statement addendum tables one and two identifies 1:06:18 the amount of employment floor space completed and consented since the AAP was adopted in 2017. 1:06:28 There's no land remaining for development within phase one which is 1:06:34 within the Sunland boundary of the scheme. So that's been fully committed. 1:06:39 Uh and we're now working on implementing road and power infrastructure to open up 1:06:45 phase two which is predominantly within the southside boundary. We continue to 1:06:51 take inquiries in relation to this. 1:06:58 So I think it's uh I don't think that there's any doubt in the council's mind that I am will be 1:07:06 delivered. Just to add to that sir in terms of the 1:07:12 um package of fiscal benefits that uh Mr. Clifford referred to I don't know if it's worth just sort of running through 1:07:18 those for your benefit and the benefit of others. Um, so 1:07:25 businesses located at the IM are essentially eligible for a range of incentives including stamp duty land tax 1:07:32 relief, national insurance contributions relief, enhanced capital allowances, enhanced structures and buildings 1:07:38 allowance and business rates relief. So there's a fairly significant package of um, incentives there which Mr. Mr. 1:07:44 Fishwig might be sort of better placed than than I to take your view on from a sort of inward investment perspective, but it seems to me that um that has 1:07:51 every every prospect of making that a very very appealing proposition just on 1:07:56 sort of scale of development as well. Section five of the I am AAP update 1:08:03 paper. The um addendum Sunland City Council addendum to that has a section 1:08:09 that provides quite a helpful sort of summary in terms of the overall scale of activity. It's as of October 2023. So a 1:08:16 little bit dated, but I think it does give a a sense of the sort of momentum that's already been sort of achieved and 1:08:22 is gathering there. So at that point in time there was um 480,000 square foot of 1:08:30 floor space already developed. Planning consents in place for another 3.1 million square foot and then another 1:08:39 application was anticipated by the authority for an electric vehicle manu 1:08:44 battery manufacturing and packing facility which was expected to account for another 1.9 million square foot of 1:08:49 floor space. 1:09:01 Thank you councelor Herbert. 1:09:07 In answer to question 216 1:09:12 answer is no. The IMP draft area action plan for 2024 acknowledges that there has been a considerable shift in 1:09:19 economic context since the existing AAP was originally prepared and adopted and 1:09:26 that the existing IMP A is primary focused on space for the automotive and 1:09:32 advanced manufacturing sector. Whilst these are still considered to be principal areas of operation for the IM, 1:09:38 the nature of economic change since the adoption of the AAP in 2017 has changed 1:09:44 and is considered that there's there are new market opportunities within the green manufacturing and clean energy 1:09:50 sector which would be complimentary to the existing offer in the IA. These 1:09:55 would be consistent with sectors identified within northeast investment zone. The draft AAP allows us that the 1:10:03 jobs density in some of these buildings are lower than was originally envisaged when establishing the existing AAP. 1:10:15 Okay. I've well I I've not got no sort of 1:10:22 further questions myself on that. I mean is there anything there that the council wanted to pick up or come back on? um 1:10:32 sort of just mindful there's obviously the existing area action plan the principal uses that are there at the 1:10:38 moment. I'm sort of cautious about speculating too much about what might or 1:10:43 might not um and obviously I'm mindful the the 1:10:48 work that sits behind this local plan. It's obviously reflective of the air 1:10:54 action plan as currently exists and what's anticipated to take place on that site as part of 1:10:59 the principle um principal uses. So I'm not unless the 1:11:05 council's got or its consultants got anything. No, I don't think we've got anything further to add. Um I mean it's a key and 1:11:12 principal driver. Um and um um the 1:11:18 emerging plan predicates its importance. just for my benefit in terms of accuracy 1:11:24 of reporting and all those sort of things that I'll need to worry about after I've sat here. So the the local 1:11:32 enterprise partnership is now is that now part of the northeast combined 1:11:37 authority NECA? Yeah. 1:11:47 And just so I'm absolutely clear on this point in terms obviously there's a factual I'm I'm going to describe it as 1:11:53 a factual situation with the port of Tine and a slightly reduced 1:11:58 land area in relation to flood risk. Uh just want to be clear where I track 1:12:05 through a potential modification. Is that something the council's already put to me or is that something I need to kind of work out mathematically myself 1:12:12 by taking 0.9 hectares off? I think we can do that for you. 1:12:18 I was going to say you you're Yes, we'll review that and come back. Okay. 1:12:23 Um through Mbpini. Thank you. And that'll potentially be a modification to policy SP2 in terms of 1:12:30 the overall headline figure. Yeah. Okay. I'll make a note of 1:12:37 that is an action that's kind of in the in the ether. Okay. 1:12:44 Thank you. Is there anything further people wish to say in relation to the amount of employment land being uh 1:12:52 provided for as part of this this plan? No. 1:12:59 Sorry. Put a hand up. Well, uh, I appreciate 1:13:05 you're not at the table and I appreciate you came into the meeting. I hadn't anticipated anybody else for this 1:13:10 session other than the Green Party. So, I'm going to have to decline that uh 1:13:16 that offer of a offer of a question. Thank you everybody for your um contributions and assistance this 1:13:22 afternoon. That's been very helpful. I'm going to adjourn for today uh and I anticipate seeing some of you again 1:13:28 tomorrow morning at 9:30 where we pick up the rest of matter 2 on plan period 1:13:35 and housing need in the morning and then looking at the sort of broad special strategy in the afternoon. Okay. Thank 1:13:41 you.